Grand National Handicap Chase – 10 Year Trends

The Grand National Handicap Chase is a Grade 3 National Hunt Handicap Chase which is run at Aintree during the Grand National Festival. The current sponsor is Randox.

This year’s race will be held on Saturday 9th April 2022

This race is open to is open to horses aged Seven-years-old and up rated 125 or more by BHA, Previously placed in a recognised chase of 3 miles or more. It is run at Aintree on the Grand National Courseover a distance of about 4 miles and 2½ furlongs. During the race there are thirty fences to be negotiated.

Previous Winners of the Grand National Handicap Chase

DateTrackDistanceGoingRunnersWinnerStallionAgeJockey (Clm)TrainerOddsWeightORDays
10.04.2021Aintree4m2½fGood To Soft40Minella Times (IRE)Oscar (IRE)8Blackmore, RachaelBromhead, Henry De11/110-314662d
6.04.2019Aintree4m2½fGood To Soft40Tiger Roll (IRE)Authorized (IRE)9Russell, D NElliott, Gordon4/111-515924d
14.04.2018Aintree4m2½fHeavy38Tiger Roll (IRE)Authorized (IRE)8Russell, D NElliott, Gordon10/110-1315031d
8.04.2017Aintree4m2½fGood To Soft40One For Arthur (IRE)Milan8Fox, Derek RRussell, Miss Lucinda V14/110-1114884d
9.04.2016Aintree4m2½fSoft39Rule The WorldSulamani (IRE)9Mullins, DavidMorris, M F33/110-714834d
11.04.2015Aintree4m3½fGood To Soft39Many Clouds (IRE)Cloudings (IRE)8Aspell, LeightonSherwood, O25/111-916029d
5.04.2014Aintree4m3½fGood To Soft40Pineau De Re (FR)Maresca Sorrento (FR)11Aspell, LeightonNewland, Dr R D P25/110-614323d
6.04.2013Aintree4m3½fGood To Soft40Auroras Encore (IRE)Second Empire (IRE)11Mania, RyanSmith,s S J66/110-313735d
14.04.2012Aintree4m4fGood40Neptune Collonges (FR)Dom Alco (FR)11Jacob, DarylNicholls, P F33/111-615756d
9.04.2011Aintree4m4fGood40Ballabriggs (IRE)Presenting10Maguire, JasonMcCain Jnr, D14/111-015035d

Course Form

The table shows the number of times the 396 horses, who have run in the Grand National Handicap Chase during the last 10 years, had previously run at Aintree.

8 of the last 10 winners had run at Aintree at least once.

Course RunsBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
012621.59-801310.32
110843.7-221614.81
26023.33-4046.67
33600-3612.78
42827.146527.14
52000-20210
6900-900
7300-3133.33
8100-100
9200-200
10100-100
11100-11100
12100-100

Winning Distance Form

The table shows the number of times the 396 horses, who have run in the Grand National Handicap Chase during the last 10 years, had previously won over a similar distance.

9 of the last 10 winners had previously never won at the distance.

Distance WinsBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
038992.31-149389.77
17114.29-2228.57

Winning Going Form

The table shows the number of times the 396 horses, who have run in the Grand National Handicap Chase during the last 10 years, have previously won a race with a similar going description.

6 of the last 10 winners had previously won on similar going at least once.

Going WinsBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
015642.56-73159.62
110343.88391211.65
27511.33-70810.67
33113.23-1626.45
41900-1915.26
5800-8225
6300-300
7100-100

Trainers

Winners

9 different trainers have saddled a winner of the Grand National Handicap Chase in the last 10 years.

Places (includes wins)

27 different trainers have been responsible for the 40 horses to make the frame in the last 10 years.

This data would take up too much space, if you require it sending please contact us.

Age

All of the last 10 winners of the Grand National Handicap Chase have been aged between 8 and 11 years old.

AgeBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
71900-1900
87045.71-61115.71
911021.82-71109.09
109311.08-7888.6
116134.9266813.11
123100-3113.23
13900-9222.22
14300-300

Sex

All of the winners of the Grand National Handicap Chase in the previous 10 years have been geldings.

Just 7 mares have run and 1 was placed.

Headgear

8 of the winners of the Grand National Handicap Chase and 30 of the 40 horses to make the frame in the last 10 years have been without headgear.

HeadgearBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
None25283.17-233011.9
Blinkers4212.38-3737.14
Cheekpieces8611.16-7578.14
Eye shield or cover100-100
Visor700-700
Hood800-800

Weight

The following table shows the weight carried every placed horse in the Grand National Handicap Chase over the last 10 years.

7 of the winners and 31 of the 40 horses to make the frame carried 11-0 or less.

WeightBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
10-21500-1516.67
10-32129.5258314.29
10-42700-2713.7
10-52100-2114.76
10-63412.94-8514.71
10-72314.351128.7
10-83300-3313.03
10-92000-20315
10-102200-2229.09
10-111915.26-4631.58
10-122800-2813.57
10-131915.26-8421.05
11-01417.141214.29
11-11600-16212.5
11-31100-1119.09
11-510110-5110
11-61119.092319.09
11-8500-5120
11-9512021120
11-101000-10110

Weight vs Max

7 of the 10 winners and 32 of the 40 placed horses carried at least 10lb less than the top weight in the race.

Weight vs MaxBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
TopWeight1000-10110
1lbs lighter512021120
2lbs lighter500-5120
4lbs lighter1119.092319.09
5lbs lighter10110-5110
7lbs lighter1100-1119.09
9lbs lighter1600-16212.5
10lbs lighter1417.141214.29
11lbs lighter1915.26-8421.05
12lbs lighter2800-2813.57
13lbs lighter1915.26-4631.58
14lbs lighter2200-2229.09
15lbs lighter2000-20315
16lbs lighter3300-3313.03
17lbs lighter2314.351128.7
18lbs lighter3412.94-8514.71
19lbs lighter2100-2114.76
20lbs lighter2700-2713.7
21lbs lighter2129.5258314.29
22lbs lighter1500-1516.67

Official Rating (OR)

The following table shows the official rating of every placed horse in the Grand National Handicap Chase over the last 10 years.

7 of the last 10 winners had a rating of 150 or less.

ORBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
1378112.559112.5
1391000-10110
1402200-2214.55
1421600-16212.5
1431616.2510318.75
1442400-2428.33
1452600-26311.54
1462613.85-1413.85
1472400-24312.5
1482328.726417.39
1493400-3425.88
1502129.525419.05
1511300-13215.38
1521400-14321.43
1541500-1516.67
1561500-15213.33
1571011024110
1596116.67-1233.33
1606116.6720233.33

7 of the last 10 winners were between 10 and 22lbs lower than the top rated

OR RankBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
TopRated1000-10110
1 lower512021120
2 lower500-5120
3 lower400-400
4 lower1119.092319.09
5 lower10110-5110
6 lower600-600
7 lower1100-1119.09
8 lower1000-1000
9 lower1600-16212.5
10 lower1417.141214.29
11 lower1915.26-8421.05
12 lower2800-2813.57
13 lower1915.26-4631.58
14 lower2200-2229.09
15 lower2000-20315
16 lower3300-3313.03
17 lower2314.351128.7
18 lower3412.94-8514.71
19 lower2100-2114.76
20 lower2700-2713.7
21 lower2129.5258314.29

Official ratings are produced by the British Horseracing Board.

Starting Price (SP)

The table shows the starting price odds of all placed horses in the Grand National Handicap Chase for the last 10 years.

The winners range from 4/1 (5.00) to 66/1 (67.00).

8 of the 10 winners were between 10/1 and 33/1.

SPBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
5.001110041100
8.50200-2150
9.00800-8450
10.00400-4250
11.00101101440
12.007114.295114.29
13.001200-1218.33
15.0017211.7613423.53
17.003200-3239.38
21.002400-2414.17
26.003625.5616616.67
29.00900-9222.22
34.005423.71435.56
41.002400-2428.33
67.004512.222236.67
101.002600-2627.69

Days Since Last Run (DSLR)

All of the previous 10 Grand National Handicap Chase winners had their latest run between 21 and 90 days ago.

DSLRBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
11-15 days500-5120
16-20 days700-700
21-25 days9322.15-6288.6
26-30 days4112.44-15512.2
31-45 days9744.12301212.37
46-60 days6511.54-31812.31
61-75 days3712.7-2525.41
76-90 days1715.88-2211.76
91-120 days1700-1715.88
121-150 days800-800
151-180 days300-300
241-300 days200-200
301-365 days100-11100
366-730 days100-100
731-1095 days100-100

Last Run Placing (LR)

The table shows the break down of the last run placing for the previous 10 runnings of the Grand National Handicap Chase.

All of the last 10 winners and 31 of fthe 40 horses to make the frame had finished in the first 6 on their previous outing.

LRBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
First6434.69-331117.19
Second5535.456712.73
Third4512.22-19613.33
Fourth3313.03113.03
Fifth3313.033439.09
Sixth2613.850311.54
Seventh1100-1119.09
Eighth800-800
Ninth1200-1200
Tenth1100-11218.18
Eleventh500-500
Twelfth500-500
Thirteenth300-300
Fourteenth300-3133.33
Fifteenth100-100
Sixteenth300-300
Seventeenth300-3133.33
Nineteenth100-100
Brought Down100-100
Fell900-900
Pulled Up5700-5735.26
Unseated Rider600-6116.67

One Stop Ratings

7 of the last 10 winners of the Grand National Handicap Chase have been top ranked between 2 and 9 on the One Stop Rating (OSR).

OSR RankBetsWinsWin%PlacesPlaces%P/L
11000.00%00.00%-10.00
210220.00%550.00%21.00
31100.00%19.09%-11.00
41000.00%110.00%-10.00
59222.22%222.22%51.00
61000.00%110.00%-10.00
71200.00%216.67%-12.00
810220.00%220.00%17.00
99111.11%111.11%2.00
101000.00%110.00%-10.00
111100.00%218.18%-11.00
12900.00%333.33%-9.00
131000.00%00.00%-10.00
149111.11%222.22%6.00
151100.00%00.00%-11.00
161000.00%220.00%-10.00
17900.00%111.11%-9.00
181000.00%00.00%-10.00
191200.00%216.67%-12.00
201100.00%00.00%-11.00
21900.00%00.00%-9.00
22900.00%00.00%-9.00
231100.00%218.18%-11.00
24900.00%111.11%-9.00
251119.09%218.18%23.00
26900.00%00.00%-9.00
271000.00%00.00%-10.00
281200.00%18.33%-12.00
29900.00%00.00%-9.00
301000.00%00.00%-10.00
311000.00%00.00%-10.00
321000.00%00.00%-10.00
33900.00%222.22%-9.00
349111.11%222.22%58.00
351100.00%00.00%-11.00
36900.00%00.00%-9.00
371100.00%19.09%-11.00
38900.00%111.11%-9.00
39900.00%00.00%-9.00
40700.00%00.00%-7.00

One Stop Racings unique One Stop Ratings will be available for the Grand National Handicap Chase on Friday 8th April.

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