Aintree Hurdle – 10 Year Trends
The Aintree Hurdle is a Grade 1 National Hunt hurdle which is run at Aintree during the Grand National Festival. The current sponsor is Betway.
This year’s race will be held on Thursday 7th April 2022
The Aintree Hurdle often features horses which ran previously in the Champion Hurdle, and the last horse to win both events in the same year was Buveur d’Air in 2017.
This race is open to is open to horses aged four years old and over. It is run at Aintree over a distance of about 2 miles and 4 furlongs. During the race there are eleven hurdles to be negotiated.
Previous Winners of the Aintree Hurdle
| Date | Track | Distance | Going | Runners | Winner | Stallion | Age | Jockey (Clm) | Trainer | Odds | Weight | OR | Days |
| 8.04.2021 | Aintree | 2m4½f | Good To Soft | 11 | Abacadabras (FR) | Davidoff (GER) | 7 | Kennedy, J W | Foster,s Denise | 5/1 | 11-7 | 158 | 23d |
| 4.04.2019 | Aintree | 2m4½f | Soft | 7 | Supasundae | Galileo (IRE) | 9 | Power, R M | Harrington,s John | 15/2 | 11-7 | 161 | 21d |
| 12.04.2018 | Aintree | 2m4½f | Soft | 9 | Lami Serge (IRE) | Kings Theatre (IRE) | 8 | Jacob, Daryl | Henderson, N J | 5/1 | 11-7 | 159 | 28d |
| 6.04.2017 | Aintree | 2m4½f | Good | 6 | Buveur Dair (FR) | Crillon (FR) | 6 | Geraghty, B J | Henderson, N J | 4/9 | 11-7 | 167 | 23d |
| 7.04.2016 | Aintree | 2m4f | Soft | 6 | Annie Power (IRE) | Shirocco (GER) | 8 | Walsh, R | Mullins, W P | 4/9 | 11-0 | 162 | 23d |
| 9.04.2015 | Aintree | 2m4f | Good To Soft | 6 | Jezki (IRE) | Milan | 7 | McCoy, A P | Harrington,s John | 3/1 | 11-7 | 166 | 30d |
| 3.04.2014 | Aintree | 2m4f | Good | 7 | The New One (IRE) | Kings Theatre (IRE) | 6 | Twiston-Davies, Sam | Twiston-Davies, N A | 4/9 | 11-7 | 167 | 23d |
| 4.04.2013 | Aintree | 2m4f | Good | 9 | Zarkandar (IRE) | Azamour (IRE) | 6 | Walsh, R | Nicholls, P F | 11/2 | 11-7 | 167 | 23d |
| 14.04.2012 | Aintree | 2m4f | Good | 5 | Oscar Whisky (IRE) | Oscar (IRE) | 7 | Geraghty, B J | Henderson, N J | 9/4 | 11-7 | 167 | 30d |
| 9.04.2011 | Aintree | 2m4f | Good | 8 | Oscar Whisky (IRE) | Oscar (IRE) | 6 | Geraghty, B J | Henderson, N J | 6/1 | 11-7 | 165 | 25d |
Horses
The following table shows the horses that have run in the Aintree Hurdle more than once, between them they have won 8 of the last 10 renewals.
| Horse | Bets | Wins | Win% | P/L(SP) | Places | Place% |
| The New One (IRE) | 5 | 1 | 20 | -3.56 | 2 | 40 |
| Thousand Stars (FR) | 3 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 100 |
| Buveur Dair (FR) | 3 | 1 | 33.33 | -1.56 | 2 | 66.67 |
| My Tent Or Yours (IRE) | 3 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 66.67 |
| Oscar Whisky (IRE) | 3 | 2 | 66.67 | 7.25 | 2 | 66.67 |
| Rock On Ruby (IRE) | 3 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 66.67 |
| Silver Streak (IRE) | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 |
| Supasundae | 2 | 1 | 50 | 6.5 | 2 | 100 |
| Diakali (FR) | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 |
| Grandouet (FR) | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 |
| Zarkandar (IRE) | 2 | 1 | 50 | 4.5 | 1 | 50 |
Course Form
The table shows the number of times the 74 horses, who have run in the Aintree Hurdle during the last 10 years, had previously run at Aintree.
6 of the last 10 winners had previously run at Aintree.
Of the 9 hoses that had previously run twice at Aintree 7 of them have finished in the places with 4 of them winning.
| Course Runs | Bets | Wins | Win% | P/L(SP) | Places | Place% |
| 0 | 29 | 4 | 13.79 | -10.56 | 9 | 31.03 |
| 1 | 26 | 2 | 7.69 | -16.75 | 5 | 19.23 |
| 2 | 9 | 4 | 44.44 | 8.88 | 7 | 77.78 |
| 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | -6 | 3 | 50 |
| 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 |
Winning Distance Form
The table shows the number of times the 74 horses, who have run in the Aintree Hurdle during the last 10 years, had previously won over a similar distance.
7 of the last 10 winners had never previously run at the distance.
| Distance Wins | Bets | Wins | Win% | P/L(SP) | Places | Place% |
| 0 | 59 | 7 | 11.86 | -22.12 | 20 | 33.9 |
| 1 | 10 | 2 | 20 | -2.75 | 3 | 30 |
| 2 | 4 | 1 | 25 | -2.56 | 1 | 25 |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 |
Winning Going Form
The table shows the number of times the 74 horses, who have run in the Aintree Hurdle during the last 10 years, have previously won a race with a similar going description.
8 winners had won on similar going at least once.
| Going Wins | Bets | Wins | Win% | P/L(SP) | Places | Place% |
| 0 | 17 | 2 | 11.76 | -9.56 | 3 | 17.65 |
| 1 | 14 | 3 | 21.43 | 3.5 | 6 | 42.86 |
| 2 | 21 | 0 | 0 | -21 | 5 | 23.81 |
| 3 | 11 | 3 | 27.27 | -0.31 | 6 | 54.55 |
| 4 | 7 | 2 | 28.57 | 2.94 | 2 | 28.57 |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 100 |
| 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 100 |
Trainers
Winners
6 trainers have saddled a winner of the Aintree Hurdle in the last 10 years.
Nicky Henderson has been the most successful training 4 of those winners.
Mrs John Harrington however has saddled 3 runners and produced 2 winners.
| Criteria | Bets | Wins | Win% | P/L(SP) | Places | Place% |
| Henderson, N J | 16 | 4 | 25 | 1.69 | 8 | 50 |
| Harrington,s John | 3 | 2 | 66.67 | 9.5 | 3 | 100 |
| Nicholls, P F | 9 | 1 | 11.11 | -2.5 | 1 | 11.11 |
| Mullins, W P | 9 | 1 | 11.11 | -7.56 | 4 | 44.44 |
| Foster,s Denise | 1 | 1 | 100 | 5 | 1 | 100 |
| Twiston-Davies, N A | 6 | 1 | 16.67 | -4.56 | 2 | 33.33 |
Places (includes wins)
Just 10 trainers have been responsible for the 24 horses to make the frame in the last 10 years.
| Trainer | Bets | Wins | Win% | P/L(SP) | Places | Place% |
| Henderson, N J | 16 | 4 | 25 | 1.69 | 8 | 50 |
| Mullins, W P | 9 | 1 | 11.11 | -7.56 | 4 | 44.44 |
| Harrington,s John | 3 | 2 | 66.67 | 9.5 | 3 | 100 |
| Fry, Harry | 3 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 66.67 |
| Twiston-Davies, N A | 6 | 1 | 16.67 | -4.56 | 2 | 33.33 |
| Foster,s Denise | 1 | 1 | 100 | 5 | 1 | 100 |
| Hales, A M | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 100 |
| King, A | 3 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 33.33 |
| Nicholls, P F | 9 | 1 | 11.11 | -2.5 | 1 | 11.11 |
| Williams, Evan | 4 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 1 | 25 |
Age
9 of the last 10 winners of the Aintree Hurdle have been between 6 and 8 years old.
| Age | Bets | Wins | Win% | P/L(SP) | Places | Place% |
| 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | -9 | 1 | 11.11 |
| 6 | 16 | 4 | 25 | 0.38 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | 20 | 3 | 15 | -6.75 | 7 | 35 |
| 8 | 12 | 2 | 16.67 | -4.56 | 6 | 50 |
| 9 | 10 | 1 | 10 | -1.5 | 4 | 40 |
| 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | -5 | 2 | 40 |
| 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 |
Sex
9 of the winners of the Aintree Hurdle in the previous 10 years have been geldings.
Just 1 mare has run and she won.
Headgear
8 of the winners of the Aintree Hurdle and 20 of the 24 horses to make the frame in the last 10 years have been without headgear.
| Headgear | Bets | Wins | Win% | P/L(SP) | Places | Place% |
| None | 63 | 8 | 12.7 | -29.93 | 20 | 31.75 |
| Blinkers | 3 | 1 | 33.33 | 3.5 | 1 | 33.33 |
| Hood | 7 | 1 | 14.29 | -1 | 3 | 42.86 |
| Cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 |
Official Rating (OR)
The following table shows the official rating of every placed horse in the Aintree Hurdle over the last 10 years.
All of the last 10 winners had a rating of between 158 and 167.
| OR | Bets | Wins | Win% | P/L(SP) | Places | Place% |
| 147 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 100 |
| 152 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 100 |
| 153 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 33.33 |
| 155 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 33.33 |
| 156 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 33.33 |
| 158 | 9 | 1 | 11.11 | -3 | 1 | 11.11 |
| 159 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 25 |
| 160 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 33.33 |
| 161 | 2 | 1 | 50 | 6.5 | 1 | 50 |
| 162 | 7 | 1 | 14.29 | -5.56 | 3 | 42.86 |
| 163 | 4 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 2 | 50 |
| 164 | 4 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 3 | 75 |
| 165 | 1 | 1 | 100 | 6 | 1 | 100 |
| 166 | 2 | 1 | 50 | 2 | 1 | 50 |
| 167 | 5 | 4 | 80 | 7.63 | 4 | 80 |
| 172 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 100 |
9 of the last 10 winners were within 6lb of the top rated.
| OR Rank | Bets | Wins | Win% | P/L(SP) | Places | Place% |
| TopRated | 12 | 3 | 25 | -7.68 | 6 | 50 |
| 1 lower | 3 | 1 | 33.33 | 3.5 | 1 | 33.33 |
| 2 lower | 3 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 lower | 4 | 2 | 50 | 3.25 | 2 | 50 |
| 4 lower | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 100 |
| 5 lower | 10 | 2 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 30 |
| 6 lower | 2 | 1 | 50 | 5 | 2 | 100 |
| 7 lower | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 lower | 4 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 1 | 25 |
| 9 lower | 6 | 0 | 0 | -6 | 1 | 16.67 |
| 10 lower | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 100 |
| 11 lower | 3 | 1 | 33.33 | 5.5 | 1 | 33.33 |
| 12 lower | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 100 |
| 13 lower | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 100 |
| 14 lower | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 lower | 3 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 33.33 |
| 16 lower | 5 | 0 | 0 | -5 | 1 | 20 |
Official ratings are produced by the British Horseracing Board.
Starting Price (SP)
The table shows the starting price odds of all placed horses in the Aintree Hurdle for the last 10 years.
The winners range from 4/9 (1.44) to 15/2 (8.50).
9 of the 10 previous winners of the Aintree Hurdle have returned a SP of 6/1 (7.00) or less.
12 of the 24 horses to make the frame returned a SP 6/1 (7.00) or higher.
| SP | Bets | Wins | Win% | P/L(SP) | Places | Place% |
| 1.44 | 3 | 3 | 100 | 1.32 | 3 | 100 |
| 1.83 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 100 |
| 2.10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 100 |
| 3.25 | 1 | 1 | 100 | 2.25 | 1 | 100 |
| 3.75 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 100 |
| 4.00 | 2 | 1 | 50 | 2 | 1 | 50 |
| 4.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 100 |
| 6.00 | 3 | 2 | 66.67 | 9 | 2 | 66.67 |
| 6.50 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 2.5 | 1 | 25 |
| 7.00 | 2 | 1 | 50 | 5 | 1 | 50 |
| 8.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 100 |
| 8.50 | 3 | 1 | 33.33 | 5.5 | 1 | 33.33 |
| 9.00 | 7 | 0 | 0 | -7 | 1 | 14.29 |
| 10.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 100 |
| 11.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 100 |
| 17.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 33.33 |
| 23.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 50 |
| 26.00 | 7 | 0 | 0 | -7 | 2 | 28.57 |
| 81.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 100 |
Position in Betting Market
3 outright favourites have won the Aintree Hurdle in the last 10 years. 9 of the last 10 winners came from the first 3 in the betting market.
| Pos Betting | Bets | Wins | Win% | P/L(SP) | Places | Place% |
| Clear Top | 10 | 3 | 30 | -5.68 | 6 | 60 |
| Clear Second | 10 | 2 | 20 | -2.75 | 2 | 20 |
| Clear Third | 10 | 4 | 40 | 17.5 | 7 | 70 |
| Clear Fourth | 8 | 0 | 0 | -8 | 2 | 25 |
| Joint Fourth | 4 | 1 | 25 | 2.5 | 1 | 25 |
| Clear Fifth | 6 | 0 | 0 | -6 | 1 | 16.67 |
| Joint Fifth | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 |
| Clear Sixth | 4 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 2 | 50 |
| Clear Seventh | 3 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 0 |
| Joint Seventh | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 50 |
| Clear Eighth | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 |
| Clear Ninth | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 100 |
| Clear Tenth | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 |
| Clear Bottom | 9 | 0 | 0 | -9 | 1 | 11.11 |
| Joint Bottom | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 |
Days Since Last Run (DSLR)
All of the previous 10 Aintree Hurdle winners had their latest run between 21 and 30 days ago.
| DSLR | Bets | Wins | Win% | P/L(SP) | Places | Place% |
| 16-20 days | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 |
| 21-25 days | 32 | 7 | 21.88 | 0.32 | 14 | 43.75 |
| 26-30 days | 11 | 3 | 27.27 | 2.25 | 6 | 54.55 |
| 31-45 days | 11 | 0 | 0 | -11 | 2 | 18.18 |
| 46-60 days | 9 | 0 | 0 | -9 | 1 | 11.11 |
| 61-75 days | 4 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 0 | 0 |
| 91-120 days | 3 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 33.33 |
| 301-365 days | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 |
Last Run Placing (LR)
The table shows the break down of the last run placing for the previous 10 runnings of the Aintree Hurdle.
Just 2 of the last 10 winners had won on their previous outing.
| LR | Bets | Wins | Win% | P/L(SP) | Places | Place% |
| No Run | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 |
| First | 17 | 2 | 11.76 | -14.12 | 6 | 35.29 |
| Second | 9 | 0 | 0 | -9 | 3 | 33.33 |
| Third | 12 | 2 | 16.67 | -3.56 | 2 | 16.67 |
| Fourth | 7 | 2 | 28.57 | 3.5 | 4 | 57.14 |
| Fifth | 8 | 1 | 12.5 | -4.75 | 3 | 37.5 |
| Sixth | 4 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 1 | 25 |
| Seventh | 3 | 1 | 33.33 | 5.5 | 1 | 33.33 |
| Eighth | 5 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 40 |
| Ninth | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 |
| Tenth | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 |
| Twelfth | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 |
| Fell | 4 | 1 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 50 |
| Pulled Up | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 |
One Stop Ratings
8 of the last 10 winners of the Aintree Hurdle have been ranked in the top 3 on One Stop Rating (OSR).
| OSR Rank | Bets | Wins | Win% | Places | Places% | P/L |
| 1 | 10 | 2 | 20.00% | 5 | 50.00% | -7.12 |
| 2 | 10 | 2 | 20.00% | 3 | 30.00% | -2.06 |
| 3 | 10 | 4 | 40.00% | 5 | 50.00% | 10.25 |
| 4 | 10 | 0 | 0.00% | 2 | 20.00% | -10.00 |
| 5 | 10 | 0 | 0.00% | 3 | 30.00% | -10.00 |
| 6 | 9 | 1 | 11.11% | 3 | 33.33% | -0.50 |
| 7 | 6 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | -6.00 |
| 8 | 4 | 0 | 0.00% | 2 | 50.00% | -4.00 |
| 9 | 3 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | -3.00 |
| 10 | 1 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | -1.00 |
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% | 5.00 |
One Stop Racings unique One Stop Ratings will be available for the Aintree Hurdle on Wednesday 6th April.
Our Selection for the Aintree Hurdle
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